Regional Demographic Studies Show Trends For Youth, Race And Class

USA Today: Youth populations drop 1.2M in Northeast, Midwest

The front line focus in this article says "where the jobs and opportunity are - people will follow".    Certainly this was the case during the 'California Gold Rush'.  Certainly this was the case as Southern Blacks moved north to Chicago, Detroit, New York, Philadelphia and Baltimore to fill the abundant factory jobs and to escape the oppressive racial bigotry that had them economically and socially stultified.

The point that is missing from the story's analysis is the ideological and political consequences from this migration.  I posted a story a few weeks ago that noted the likely decline in congressional representation in many of these same states (plus Ohio, Pennsylvania and New York) due to a loss in population.  This merely shows that the states in the South and the Southwest will receive more representatives from their state.  Indeed since the headcount in the congress is a "zero sum game" the loss by some states is a gain by others.

Yahoo News - Northeastern States Projected To Lose Congressional Representation

Now Let's Apply An Ideological Filter

For the sake of ease of argument I will use the notion that the "Democrats are the Progressive party" and the "Republicans are the Conservative party".  I agree that this does not capture the diversity in between of these two polar opposites.  Nor does it capture a person like me who is an independent, all be it a "conservative independent".

This past weekend on "The Georgia Gang" (a local Atlanta talk show) I heard one of the Democratic panelists say that Georgia will be a "blue state" in a few decades based on the population trends.  She was talking about the influx of Hispanics.  We should add the influx of people from the North to this mix as well. 

When I listen to such people focus on the "blue-ification" of the South and the "progression" that this portends I never hear them focus on the areas of the nation that they have already "won".  Instead the "Republican South" will one day receive its redemption from its "slave past" once the Democratic Party comes in and takes over.  The one point of fact that is rarely mentioned is that the South WAS SOLIDLY DEMOCRATIC when these sins were committed.  Only the tale of the "Southern Strategy" used by the Republicans allows these people to rationalize and affirm their views.  The truth is that many of these Southern states elected their first Republican governors and state legislatures long after Richard Nixon vanished from power.

The key point that is lacking in the progressive's "Self-Prescription" is the focus upon the static views of the "Flying Progressives" from the North.  It is all too clear that these Northern states are suffering from economic erosion.  Despite the labor left's "victory" they now stand on ground that no longer produces sufficient economic opportunity to retain their young people.  We must also make note that the ECONOMIC IDEOLOGY  known as "progressivism" never suffers the consequences for their deeds in this regard.  We instead hear the triumph as the northeast becomes a "Republican Free" zone.  The expulsion of Chris Shays in 2006 meant that the there are no Republicans representing the New England states in the US House. (New York Republicans ponder their fate)

These young upstarts who see the world ahead of them merely look to the places that are coming alive and they add their bodies and their consciousness to these places.  With their youth and their ideology affixed they are seen by the Progressive Political Establishment as one more drop in the bucket that will tip the balance in the party's favor.  This is a clear example of the distinction between POPULARITY and EFFECTIVENESS.  Since these young people are inclined to support that which feels most comfortable with their present consciousness it is highly unlikely that they will look at the prevailing powers in the North and vote to REPUDIATE those who provoked them to depart per their control over the region. 

If there is another "Heads I Win, Tails you Lose" situation in America - please find it for me.

The popular retort is: "The Republican Party needs to do a better job reaching out to the communities that they have no traction in".    My take - I HAVE NO INTEREST IN SEEING GOP GROW STRONG AND TAKE OVER.  I am more of a "functionalist" than I am a "party operative".  I study the impact of ideology and how race is used for ideological and political advantage.  This often leads to the "voter nullification" that these migratory patterns indicate.

Ultimately we have to conclude that the solution resides beyond the question of what "the Republicans must do to attract these prospective voters".   We instead must look at these people and ask "are you in tune with your own interests?  Do you know how to MANAGE your way into achieving your interests, yielding from your CONSUMER ways that has you to move to opportunity rather than creating or retaining it?"

A consumer is a captive to whatever the PRODUCER puts on the market for him to digest.  In today's slow job market it is abundantly clear that in the absence of "consumers of labor" those who sell their labor are in a desperate situation.

As much as some people focus upon "ideological conquest and total domination" they fail to see that this is a NON-MANAGEMENT construct.  It sets up the nullification that we see.  Since the masses are made to focus on the great "Mission From God" rather than the need for "earnest money' at specific checkpoints the people are made to be complicit in their own serial running episodes of the failure of their own PERMANENT INTERESTS.

Thus such an ideological mass movement effectively asks otherwise intelligent human beings to suppress their own rational analysis and look toward a grand vision that has failed on an incremental basis where ever it has "won".